I think that...what do I think? I think that over long periods of time you can predict some astonishing results. Let's go with that today.
It has to do with people's inability, or unwillingness, to learn from errors and the simple idea that's there is usually a "best" response you can count on people choosing to do for themselves during any given situation. Ex; someone whips a brick at your head and you see it coming you move.
So basically humanity as a R.Goldburg machine, which you might think free will would make impossible, where the individual components are human behavior/responses of a reasonably reliable predictability and the end result is something that hasn't happened yet. You know you won't get a brick in the face if you move.
I'm not sure but I think some variation on this might be how the stock market works as well, but I digress.
So another example: It's a reasonably reliable prediction that if Apple puts out more iDevices that people will buy them in great numbers, despite not "needing" them. So by this simple logic anyone with two brain cells to rub together can "know" that the iPad3 or iPhone...6(?) is an inevitability, barring re branding which is moot.
I however suggest that this can be applied broadly to not just consumer merchandizing but anything social. From wars to election victories, the success and failure of films, artists and television shows to basic everyday human behavior.
One and one is two after all, the trick is correctly identifying the relevant variables, what the one and one are, in a given situation.
It has to do with people's inability, or unwillingness, to learn from errors and the simple idea that's there is usually a "best" response you can count on people choosing to do for themselves during any given situation. Ex; someone whips a brick at your head and you see it coming you move.
So basically humanity as a R.Goldburg machine, which you might think free will would make impossible, where the individual components are human behavior/responses of a reasonably reliable predictability and the end result is something that hasn't happened yet. You know you won't get a brick in the face if you move.
I'm not sure but I think some variation on this might be how the stock market works as well, but I digress.
So another example: It's a reasonably reliable prediction that if Apple puts out more iDevices that people will buy them in great numbers, despite not "needing" them. So by this simple logic anyone with two brain cells to rub together can "know" that the iPad3 or iPhone...6(?) is an inevitability, barring re branding which is moot.
I however suggest that this can be applied broadly to not just consumer merchandizing but anything social. From wars to election victories, the success and failure of films, artists and television shows to basic everyday human behavior.
One and one is two after all, the trick is correctly identifying the relevant variables, what the one and one are, in a given situation.
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